Guijuelo 1-2 Real Valladolid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.18/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.25
-8% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guijuelo
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Valladolid II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.01.2024 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 0-2 HT 0-1 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
29.01.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
10.09.2022 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 0-1 HT 0-1 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
22.12.2019 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 2-2 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS3
POST-MATCH Guijuelo vs Real Valladolid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Valladolid II edged past Guijuelo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guijuelo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guijuelo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guijuelo and 1.00 for Real Valladolid II.

What was the final score of Guijuelo vs Real Valladolid II?

Guijuelo 1-2 Real Valladolid II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guijuelo vs Real Valladolid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guijuelo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Guijuelo 48%, draw 24%, Real Valladolid II 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guijuelo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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