Arenas de Getxo 2-0 Subiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.95
Over 2.5
39%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.1pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Subiza EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.17/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.65
+28% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenas de Getxo
2-0
AWAY Subiza
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arenas de Getxo vs Subiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenas de Getxo got the better of Subiza 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arenas de Getxo as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Arenas de Getxo had 63% of the ball to Subiza's 37%, shots finished 19-5.

What was the final score of Arenas de Getxo vs Subiza?

Arenas de Getxo 2-0 Subiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenas de Getxo vs Subiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenas de Getxo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Arenas de Getxo 55%, draw 28%, Subiza 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arenas de Getxo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arenas de Getxo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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