Coruxo 1-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coruxo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -22%
1.20/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.69
+0% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coruxo
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-3 HT 0-1 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
15.01.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 0-0 HT 0-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coruxo
1-1
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coruxo vs Gimnastica Torrelavega
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coruxo and Gimnastica Torrelavega shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Coruxo had 48% of the ball to Gimnastica Torrelavega's 52%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Coruxo had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Coruxo and 0.50 for Gimnastica Torrelavega.

What was the final score of Coruxo vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Coruxo 1-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coruxo vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coruxo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Coruxo 37%, draw 31%, Gimnastica Torrelavega 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Coruxo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coruxo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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