Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-3 Coruxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Coruxo EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.24/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.05
-2% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Coruxo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
15.01.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 0-0 HT 0-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega
1-3
AWAY Coruxo
72% Ball Possession 28%
19 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Coruxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coruxo got the better of Gimnastica Torrelavega 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Coruxo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnastica Torrelavega had 72% of the ball to Coruxo's 28%, shots finished 19-8.

What was the final score of Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Coruxo?

Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-3 Coruxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Coruxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastica Torrelavega win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gimnastica Torrelavega 39%, draw 28%, Coruxo 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastica Torrelavega) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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