Navalcarnero 0-2 CD Coria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Coria EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.41/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.05
+8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Navalcarnero
2W-1D-0L
AWAY CD Coria
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 CD Coria CD Coria 1-2 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
02.04.2023 CD Coria CD Coria 1-1 HT 1-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
20.11.2022 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Navalcarnero
0-2
AWAY CD Coria
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Navalcarnero vs CD Coria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Coria got the better of Navalcarnero 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Navalcarnero at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Navalcarnero had 60% of the ball to CD Coria's 40%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Navalcarnero had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Navalcarnero and 0.67 for CD Coria.

What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs CD Coria?

Navalcarnero 0-2 CD Coria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs CD Coria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 41%, draw 28%, CD Coria 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Navalcarnero) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Navalcarnero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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