CD Coria 1-2 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Coria EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +10%
1.00/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.29
-11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Coria
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Navalcarnero
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2023 CD Coria CD Coria 1-1 HT 1-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
20.11.2022 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Coria
1-2
AWAY Navalcarnero
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH CD Coria vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero nicked a narrow win over CD Coria 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Navalcarnero found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Coria had 48% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 52%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Navalcarnero led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CD Coria and 1.50 for Navalcarnero.

What was the final score of CD Coria vs Navalcarnero?

CD Coria 1-2 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Coria vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Coria win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CD Coria 38%, draw 29%, Navalcarnero 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Coria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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