Como 2-1 Napoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 23 Feb 2025

Como
2 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Napoli
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Como vs Napoli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.08
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.62
Over
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.51
2-3
48%
1.74
4-5
17%
4.39
6+
3%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.22
1/2
3%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
9%
6.76
X/2
15%
4.94
X/X
22%
3.83
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
24%
3.2
2/X
5%
12.85
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Como v Napoli — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Como The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli The Market 45%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.16 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
1.54 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.82
Average Attack Strength Weak
Bad Defense Strength Great
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Como vs Napoli Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Napoli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.37 xG 1.91
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
572 Passes 364
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 23
7 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.10.2024 Napoli Napoli 3-1 HT 1-1 Como Como İTA
01.02.2004 Como Como 2-0 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTB
06.01.2002 Como Como 0-2 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTB

Como 2-1 Napoli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
2 - 1
AWAY Napoli
0.72 xG 1.26
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
270 Passes 381
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Como vs Napoli
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Como nicked a narrow win over Napoli 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

A gentle 42% lean on Napoli didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: Napoli saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.72 to 1.26 — by the quality of chances, Napoli deserved more.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Napoli led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Como against 1.67 for Napoli.

Como vs Napoli Result & Final Score

Como 2 - 1 Napoli in the Italy - Serie A on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Como vs Napoli Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Como 25%, draw 33%, Napoli 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Napoli), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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