Hellas Verona 1-0 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.64
Over
44%
2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.57
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
19%
4.26
6+
4%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.79
1/2
3%
28.0
1/X
5%
14.5
X/1
10%
7.2
X/2
17%
4.57
X/X
18%
4.09
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.87
2/X
5%
13.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Hellas Verona The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina The Market 49%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.03 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.49
1.43 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.99
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fiorentina
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.29 xG 1.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
215 Passes 307
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 3-1 HT 1-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
05.05.2024 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1 HT 1-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
17.12.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
27.02.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-3 HT 0-2 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
18.09.2022 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
06.03.2022 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-1 HT 1-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
1 - 0
AWAY Fiorentina
1.16 xG 1.37
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
252 Passes 377
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Hellas Verona nicked a narrow win over Fiorentina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We leaned Fiorentina at 47% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (56%) came home.

Under the surface, Fiorentina saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.16 to 1.37.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Hellas Verona against 1.83 for Fiorentina.

Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina Result & Final Score

Hellas Verona 1 - 0 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 24%, draw 29%, Fiorentina 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fiorentina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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