Coquimbo Unido 1-0 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +20%
1.25/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.47
+8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
23.2 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coquimbo Unido
3W-0D-3L
AWAY U. Catolica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.92 xG 1.47
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
187 Passes 362
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 U. Catolica 1-2 HT 0-1 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
03.06.2024 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 2-0 HT 2-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
24.07.2023 U. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
04.02.2023 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 2-1 HT 1-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
04.07.2022 U. Catolica 2-0 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
06.02.2022 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 2-3 HT 2-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coquimbo Unido
1-0
AWAY U. Catolica
1.97 xG 0.60
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
172 Passes 340
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coquimbo Unido nicked a narrow win over U. Catolica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Coquimbo Unido as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Coquimbo Unido had 38% of the ball to U. Catolica's 62%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.97 to 0.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Coquimbo Unido's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Coquimbo Unido and 1.50 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica?

Coquimbo Unido 1-0 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coquimbo Unido win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Coquimbo Unido 41%, draw 27%, U. Catolica 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coquimbo Unido), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coquimbo Unido) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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