Köln 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 23 Feb 2025

Köln
1-1 HT 0-0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.55
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
15%
4.83
X/2
7%
8.04
X/X
13%
5.11
2/1
6%
22.55
2/2
13%
5.66
2/X
6%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.75/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.79
-26% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
35.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
28.2 Crosses 15.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7

Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.95 xG 1.16
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
391 Passes 314
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 HT 1-1 Köln Köln AL2
24.05.2020 Köln Köln 2-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL1
03.11.2019 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 HT 1-0 Köln Köln AL1
22.12.2013 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-3 HT 0-2 Köln Köln AL2
28.07.2013 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2

Köln 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
1-1
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.93 xG 1.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
499 Passes 375
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
33 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln and Fortuna Düsseldorf shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Köln at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Köln had 57% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 43%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.93 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Köln and 1.80 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Köln 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Köln 47%, draw 25%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Köln), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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