Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2024

Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-2 HT 1-1
Köln
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.24
1/2
6%
23.15
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
10%
6.71
X/2
9%
5.18
X/X
11%
5.39
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
22%
2.95
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.45
Value flag · 2/X at 12.45 — our 10% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.47/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.55
+0% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
17.8 Crosses 19.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Köln Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Köln
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
284 Passes 402
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.05.2020 Köln Köln 2-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL1
03.11.2019 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 HT 1-0 Köln Köln AL1
22.12.2013 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-3 HT 0-2 Köln Köln AL2
28.07.2013 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-2
AWAY Köln
1.09 xG 2.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 14
4 Corners 8
404 Passes 359
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 36
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf and Köln couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 53% of the ball to Köln's 47%, shots finished 12-24, expected goals 1.09 to 2.20.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.50 for Köln.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Köln?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 Köln in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 36%, draw 27%, Köln 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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