Braunschweig 2-0 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2024

Braunschweig
2-0 HT 1-0
Greuther Fürth
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Braunschweig vs Greuther Fürth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.48
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.86
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.03
X/2
12%
6.89
X/X
11%
5.33
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
14%
4.44
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.3pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Braunschweig v Greuther Fürth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.70/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.57
+1% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
16.1 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Braunschweig vs Greuther Fürth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.90 xG 1.55
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
240 Passes 416
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.05.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-3 HT 1-2 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
02.12.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
13.05.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-2 HT 1-1 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
06.11.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
20.04.2021 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-0 HT 3-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
19.12.2020 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-3 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2

Braunschweig 2-0 Greuther Fürth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braunschweig
2-0
AWAY Greuther Fürth
3.30 xG 0.49
37% Ball Possession 63%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
198 Passes 417
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braunschweig got the better of Greuther Fürth 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Braunschweig as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Braunschweig had 37% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 63%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 3.30 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Braunschweig and 2.17 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Greuther Fürth?

Braunschweig 2-0 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Braunschweig win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 42%, draw 24%, Greuther Fürth 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Braunschweig) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Braunschweig) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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