Kaiserslautern 2-2 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2024

Kaiserslautern
2-2 HT 1-0
Hamburg
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Kaiserslautern vs Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.36
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.3
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
12%
7.01
X/2
15%
5.11
X/X
7%
5.63
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
17%
2.81
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.3 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaiserslautern v Hamburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.62/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.50
+36% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
19.5 Crosses 19.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Kaiserslautern vs Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hamburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.17 xG 1.79
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
195 Passes 444
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 32
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Hamburg Hamburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
28.10.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-3 HT 2-1 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
15.04.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 2-0 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
08.10.2022 Hamburg Hamburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
31.03.2012 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamburg Hamburg AL1
30.10.2011 Hamburg Hamburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL1

Kaiserslautern 2-2 Hamburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
2-2
AWAY Hamburg
0.84 xG 2.53
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
181 Passes 433
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern and Hamburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hamburg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 34% of the ball to Hamburg's 66%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.84 to 2.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.33 for Hamburg.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Hamburg?

Kaiserslautern 2-2 Hamburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 35%, draw 24%, Hamburg 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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