Nürnberg 0-2 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.8
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
54%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
29%
2.81
6+ Goals
13%
7.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.26
1/2
6%
22.7
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
6%
6.81
X/2
14%
5.16
X/X
6%
5.49
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
34%
2.9
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-5.8pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.0pp
54%
Away Win
43%
+10.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.26/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/3.85
-8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / -73%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
19.0 Crosses 12.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.57 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
354 Passes 376
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 3-3 HT 1-2 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
22.10.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 3-1 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
20.01.2019 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-3 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
25.08.2018 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL1
16.12.2015 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-2 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
02.02.2014 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-3 HT 1-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
0-2
AWAY Hertha Berlin
0.73 xG 1.87
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 11
7 Corners 4
374 Passes 269
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin got the better of Nürnberg 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hertha Berlin as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nürnberg had 58% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 42%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 0.73 to 1.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nürnberg and 1.83 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Hertha Berlin?

Nürnberg 0-2 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 26%, draw 20%, Hertha Berlin 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hertha Berlin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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