Hertha Berlin 3-3 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
12%
7.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.14
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1
18%
4.22
X/2
9%
9.48
X/X
7%
5.98
2/1
6%
20.6
2/2
10%
6.54
2/X
9%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
55%
-0.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.79/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.66
+8% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
21.6 Crosses 15.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nürnberg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 1.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 Passes 331
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 3-1 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
20.01.2019 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-3 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
25.08.2018 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL1
16.12.2015 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-2 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
02.02.2014 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-3 HT 1-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL1
18.08.2013 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-2 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
3-3
AWAY Nürnberg
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
373 Passes 466
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin and Nürnberg shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 46% of the ball to Nürnberg's 54%, shots finished 18-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hertha Berlin and 1.50 for Nürnberg.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Nürnberg?

Hertha Berlin 3-3 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 54%, draw 22%, Nürnberg 25%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hertha Berlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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