Holstein Kiel 2-0 Hansa Rostock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.79
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.85
X/1
13%
3.81
X/2
6%
12.55
X/X
14%
6.85
2/1
8%
20.15
2/2
10%
9.0
2/X
5%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.99/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.79
-8% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.5 Crosses 16.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hansa Rostock
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 1.86
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
338 Passes 215
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-3 HT 1-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
09.04.2023 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-3 HT 1-2 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
01.10.2022 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-1 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
11.03.2022 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 3-2 HT 1-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
02.10.2021 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 0-2 HT 0-2 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
22.01.2019 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 0-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstein Kiel
2-0
AWAY Hansa Rostock
1.46 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
299 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 13
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel vs Hansa Rostock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel saw off Hansa Rostock 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Holstein Kiel as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Holstein Kiel had 49% of the ball to Hansa Rostock's 51%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.46 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Holstein Kiel and 1.50 for Hansa Rostock.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Hansa Rostock?

Holstein Kiel 2-0 Hansa Rostock in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs Hansa Rostock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstein Kiel win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 54%, draw 24%, Hansa Rostock 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holstein Kiel), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holstein Kiel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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