Kaiserslautern 1-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 30 Mar 2024

Kaiserslautern
1-3 HT 1-0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Kaiserslautern vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
12%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 26% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.99
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
14%
6.11
X/2
18%
5.31
X/X
14%
4.99
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
17%
3.27
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaiserslautern v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +16%
1.54/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.13
-7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 77%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
21.1 Crosses 20.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kaiserslautern vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.39 xG 1.86
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
226 Passes 424
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-3 HT 1-3 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
28.05.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-3 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
11.11.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-2 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
04.02.2020 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 2-5 HT 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AFK
27.01.2018 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-3 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
19.08.2017 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2

Kaiserslautern 1-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
1-3
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.41 xG 2.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
322 Passes 467
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf got the better of Kaiserslautern 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 43% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 57%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.41 to 2.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kaiserslautern and 3.00 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Kaiserslautern 1-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 30%, draw 27%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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