Greuther Fürth 3-3 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.5
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
13%
5.43
X/2
18%
5.57
X/X
10%
5.22
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
11%
3.63
2/X EV+ ✓
13%
13.5
Value flag · 2/X at 13.5 — our 13% vs market 4.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.86/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.69
+1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 70%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
20.0 Crosses 15.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Braunschweig
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.48 xG 0.78
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
380 Passes 250
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
13.05.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-2 HT 1-1 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
06.11.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
20.04.2021 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-0 HT 3-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
19.12.2020 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-3 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
24.02.2018 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-1 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
3-3
AWAY Braunschweig
1.89 xG 1.50
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
531 Passes 179
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
41 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth and Braunschweig shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 70% of the ball to Braunschweig's 30%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.89 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Greuther Fürth and 0.50 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Braunschweig?

Greuther Fürth 3-3 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 36%, draw 29%, Braunschweig 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greuther Fürth), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
4 May 2024
14:00 Hansa Rostock vs Karlsruher SC Analysis →
21:30 Kaiserslautern vs Magdeburg Analysis →