Kaiserslautern 4-1 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
20%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
8.44
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.5 — our 27% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.6
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
12%
4.71
X/2
12%
7.55
X/X
15%
5.46
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
11%
5.01
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -20%
1.29/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.87
-18% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
20.1 Crosses 13.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Magdeburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.62 xG 1.93
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
259 Passes 422
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 4-1 HT 1-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
03.03.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
28.08.2022 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 4-4 HT 2-3 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
12.02.2022 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 2-2 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3
04.09.2021 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL3
20.03.2021 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
4-1
AWAY Magdeburg
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
230 Passes 432
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern swept aside Magdeburg 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kaiserslautern as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 39% of the ball to Magdeburg's 61%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Magdeburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kaiserslautern and 2.33 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Magdeburg?

Kaiserslautern 4-1 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaiserslautern win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 43%, draw 27%, Magdeburg 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaiserslautern), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kaiserslautern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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