Hansa Rostock 1-2 Karlsruher SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 4 May 2024

Hansa Rostock
1-2 HT 1-0
Karlsruher SC
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Hansa Rostock vs Karlsruher SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 28% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.24
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
13%
6.35
X/2
18%
5.1
X/X
13%
4.94
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
18%
3.12
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hansa Rostock v Karlsruher SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.33/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.26
-36% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
22.2 Crosses 21.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Hansa Rostock vs Karlsruher SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.43 xG 1.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
284 Passes 328
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-2 HT 1-2 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
05.03.2023 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-2 HT 0-2 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
27.08.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-0 HT 2-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
19.12.2021 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-2 HT 2-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
24.07.2021 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-3 HT 0-2 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
23.03.2019 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3

Hansa Rostock 1-2 Karlsruher SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
1-2
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.68 xG 2.21
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
234 Passes 367
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC squeezed past Hansa Rostock 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karlsruher SC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 42% of the ball to Karlsruher SC's 58%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.68 to 2.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karlsruher SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hansa Rostock and 2.00 for Karlsruher SC.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Karlsruher SC?

Hansa Rostock 1-2 Karlsruher SC in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Karlsruher SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 32%, draw 25%, Karlsruher SC 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlsruher SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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