Al Nasr 2-3 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
7.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
1.14/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.57
-40% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
267 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
20.3 Crosses 16.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.25 xG 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
348 Passes 437
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-1 HT 3-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
24.02.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
19.08.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
07.04.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 4-3 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
04.11.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
19.02.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi edged past Al Nasr 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Al Jazira Abu Dhabi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Nasr and 2.33 for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Al Nasr 2-3 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi in the UAE - League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 37%, draw 28%, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nasr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE More UAE - League
23 Feb 2025
16:30 Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Urooba Analysis →
16:30 Al Sharjah vs Al Bataeh Analysis →
19:15 Baniyas SC vs Al Wahda Analysis →