Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-0 Al Urooba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.11
Draw
17%
8.11
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.94
Over 2.5
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.59
2-3 Goals
36%
2.5
4-5 Goals
29%
2.22
6+ Goals
16%
3.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
85%
-15.7pp
17%
Draw
9%
+8.0pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+14.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
2.30/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.10
+17% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -16%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
488 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 78%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
20.0 Crosses 11.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Urooba
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.94 xG 0.91
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
449 Passes 220
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Al Urooba Al Urooba 1-4 HT 0-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
19.02.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE
11.09.2021 Al Urooba Al Urooba 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
2-0
AWAY Al Urooba
1.77 xG 0.05
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
491 Passes 194
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 2
23 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Urooba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai saw off Al Urooba 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahli FC Dubai had 67% of the ball to Al Urooba's 33%, shots finished 14-2, expected goals 1.77 to 0.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Ahli FC Dubai and 1.00 for Al Urooba.

What was the final score of Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Urooba?

Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-0 Al Urooba in the UAE - League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Urooba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli FC Dubai 69%, draw 17%, Al Urooba 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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