Al Urooba 1-4 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒16:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
60%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
6.47
2-3 Goals
35%
2.13
4-5 Goals
25%
2.51
6+ Goals
14%
5.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.5pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.0pp
60%
Away Win
75%
-14.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 80%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.05/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.70
-1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
225 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 85%
10.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
10.4 Crosses 17.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Urooba
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.91 xG 1.94
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
220 Passes 449
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE
11.09.2021 Al Urooba Al Urooba 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Urooba
1-4
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Urooba vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai ran out comfortable winners over Al Urooba 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Al Urooba had 34% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 66%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Urooba and 2.00 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

What was the final score of Al Urooba vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Al Urooba 1-4 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Urooba vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Urooba 19%, draw 21%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 60%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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