Al Wahda 2-2 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.07
6+ Goals
13%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 27% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.08/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.37
+20% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
16.7 Crosses 17.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wahda
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Baniyas SC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.72 xG 1.10
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
336 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Al Wahda Al Wahda 3-1 HT 2-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
06.10.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
12.05.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-1 HT 1-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
23.01.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
22.02.2022 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-2 HT 2-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAECK
14.02.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 4-1 HT 1-1 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAECK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wahda
2-2
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.11 xG 1.08
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
396 Passes 219
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Wahda vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda and Baniyas SC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wahda at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Wahda had 62% of the ball to Baniyas SC's 38%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.11 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wahda had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Wahda and 1.17 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Al Wahda vs Baniyas SC?

Al Wahda 2-2 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wahda vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wahda win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Wahda 46%, draw 26%, Baniyas SC 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Wahda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wahda) ✓ Over 2.5
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