Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.4pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 32%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.71/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.30
-39% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.09.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
10.11.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
23.07.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-4 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Plovdiv edged past Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Lokomotiv Plovdiv found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 58% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 42%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 2.33 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 39%, draw 27%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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