PSM Makassar 1-0 Persija Jakarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Persija Jakarta EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.67/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.34
+17% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Persija Jakarta
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
227 Passes 384
29.09.2024 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 1-1 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
25.01.2023 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 4-2 HT 2-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
05.08.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-1 HT 0-0 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
21.03.2022 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 3-1 HT 2-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
07.12.2021 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-3 HT 0-0 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
20.10.2019 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-1 HT 0-0 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs Persija Jakarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar squeezed past Persija Jakarta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; PSM Makassar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persija Jakarta led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for PSM Makassar and 2.17 for Persija Jakarta.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs Persija Jakarta?

PSM Makassar 1-0 Persija Jakarta in the Indonesia League 1 on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs Persija Jakarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 39%, draw 25%, Persija Jakarta 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSM Makassar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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23 Feb 2025
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