SuperSport United 1-1 Golden Arrows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 23 Feb 2025

SuperSport United
1-1
Golden Arrows
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2024/2025

SuperSport United vs Golden Arrows Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 33% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
59%
-14.9pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.0pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SuperSport United v Golden Arrows — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.73/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.46
-30% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
25.4 Crosses 15.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

SuperSport United vs Golden Arrows Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SuperSport United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Golden Arrows
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.25 xG 1.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
259 Passes 355
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.10.2024 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-0 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
03.04.2024 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 2-2 HT 0-2 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
29.08.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-3 HT 0-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
05.03.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 2-1 HT 1-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
07.01.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 2-1 HT 2-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
02.04.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 3-2 HT 1-2 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
POST-MATCH SuperSport United vs Golden Arrows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SuperSport United and Golden Arrows couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was SuperSport United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Golden Arrows led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SuperSport United and 1.83 for Golden Arrows.

What was the final score of SuperSport United vs Golden Arrows?

SuperSport United 1-1 Golden Arrows in the South Afrika - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SuperSport United vs Golden Arrows?

Before kick-off our model rated a SuperSport United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SuperSport United 44%, draw 31%, Golden Arrows 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SuperSport United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SuperSport United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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