Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 1-1 Aston Villa U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 23 Feb 2025

Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
1-1 HT 1-0
Aston Villa U21
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
INGPL2 – 2024/2025

Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 vs Aston Villa U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.0pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.4pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 v Aston Villa U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
3.32/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/3.20
+43% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
407 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 79%
53.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.8 Crosses 23.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 1-1 Aston Villa U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
1-1
AWAY Aston Villa U21
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
366 Passes 419
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 vs Aston Villa U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 and Aston Villa U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 had 47% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 53%, shots finished 4-13.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 1-1 Aston Villa U21 in the INGPL2 on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 49%, draw 26%, Aston Villa U21 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Alb. U21) ✗ Over 2.5
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