Alianza Universidad 2-3 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.0
Over 2.5
41%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.63
No
57%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
17%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
57%
-14.0pp
57%
BTTS No
43%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Universidad EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -1%
1.32/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.39
-17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
16.2 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Universidad
2-3
AWAY ADT
2.63 xG 2.32
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
273 Passes 154
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alianza Universidad vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT nicked a narrow win over Alianza Universidad 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day ADT made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alianza Universidad had 64% of the ball to ADT's 36%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.63 to 2.32.

What was the final score of Alianza Universidad vs ADT?

Alianza Universidad 2-3 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Universidad vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Universidad win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alianza Universidad 37%, draw 29%, ADT 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Universidad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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