Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cienciano v Deportivo Garcilaso — Team-Based Signals
Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Cienciano
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
PER
Cienciano 2-3 Deportivo Garcilaso — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Garcilaso squeezed past Cienciano 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Cienciano at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Cienciano had 69% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 31%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.55 to 2.11.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo Garcilaso led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Cienciano and 0.75 for Deportivo Garcilaso.
What was the final score of Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Cienciano 2-3 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 42%, draw 27%, Deportivo Garcilaso 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.