Dezembro 2-1 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.13/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.21
-10% / +138% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
2-1
AWAY Amarante
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro nicked a narrow win over Amarante 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Dezembro made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dezembro had 46% of the ball to Amarante's 54%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Amarante?

Dezembro 2-1 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dezembro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 38%, draw 29%, Amarante 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dezembro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dezembro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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