Sporting Covilha 1-1 Oliveira Hospital — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.26/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.62
-1% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
05.10.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-0 HT 1-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
13.01.2024 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
01.10.2023 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-3 HT 0-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
1-1
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Oliveira Hospital
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha and Oliveira Hospital shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Covilha at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 56% of the ball to Oliveira Hospital's 44%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.25 for Oliveira Hospital.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Oliveira Hospital?

Sporting Covilha 1-1 Oliveira Hospital in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Oliveira Hospital?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 43%, draw 27%, Oliveira Hospital 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Covilha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Covilha) ✓ Under 2.5
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POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
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