Oliveira Hospital 0-1 Sporting Covilha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+10.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.78/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.21
-42% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oliveira Hospital
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting Covilha
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
05.10.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-0 HT 1-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
13.01.2024 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
01.10.2023 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-3 HT 0-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oliveira Hospital
0-1
AWAY Sporting Covilha
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oliveira Hospital vs Sporting Covilha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha nicked a narrow win over Oliveira Hospital 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sporting Covilha found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Oliveira Hospital had 47% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 53%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Oliveira Hospital had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oliveira Hospital and 0.67 for Sporting Covilha.

What was the final score of Oliveira Hospital vs Sporting Covilha?

Oliveira Hospital 0-1 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oliveira Hospital vs Sporting Covilha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oliveira Hospital win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Oliveira Hospital 40%, draw 25%, Sporting Covilha 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Oliveira Hospital) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oliveira Hospital) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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