Caldas 1-1 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.73/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.20
-44% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldas
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico CP
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 4-0 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
05.11.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-2 HT 0-2 Caldas Caldas POR3
08.08.2023 Caldas Caldas 3-3 HT 2-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
1-1
AWAY Atletico CP
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas and Atletico CP couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Caldas had 53% of the ball to Atletico CP's 47%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Caldas and 2.33 for Atletico CP.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Atletico CP?

Caldas 1-1 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Caldas 36%, draw 29%, Atletico CP 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Caldas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caldas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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