Sporting Covilha 1-0 Oliveira Hospital — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.81/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.72
+48% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
243 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
01.10.2023 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-3 HT 0-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
1-0
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 12
7 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Oliveira Hospital
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha edged past Oliveira Hospital 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Covilha as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 34% of the ball to Oliveira Hospital's 66%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Oliveira Hospital led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sporting Covilha and 2.50 for Oliveira Hospital.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Oliveira Hospital?

Sporting Covilha 1-0 Oliveira Hospital in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Oliveira Hospital?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 44%, draw 27%, Oliveira Hospital 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Covilha), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Covilha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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