Dezembro 1-2 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.74/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.74
-43% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +74%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Academica
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 0-1 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
08.08.2023 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
1-2
AWAY Academica
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica nicked a narrow win over Dezembro 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Academica made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dezembro had 63% of the ball to Academica's 37%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Academica led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dezembro and 1.00 for Academica.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Academica?

Dezembro 1-2 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 33%, draw 30%, Academica 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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