Sao Joao Ver 3-1 Anadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Anadia EU Bookmakers 33%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
0.84/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.45
-33% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
363 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Anadia
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
07.01.2023 Anadia Anadia 3-3 HT 3-2 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
3-1
AWAY Anadia
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Anadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Joao Ver got the better of Anadia 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sao Joao Ver as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 45% of the ball to Anadia's 55%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Anadia?

Sao Joao Ver 3-1 Anadia in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Anadia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 43%, draw 24%, Anadia 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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