EGS Gafsa 0-1 Monastir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
54%
Away Win
59%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Monastir EU Bookmakers 62%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.25/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.32
-58% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +100%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
148 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EGS Gafsa
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Monastir
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
27.10.2024 Monastir Monastir 2-0 HT 0-0 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN1
16.09.2020 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 2-3 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TNUSK
POST-MATCH EGS Gafsa vs Monastir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monastir nicked a narrow win over EGS Gafsa 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monastir as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Monastir led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for EGS Gafsa and 2.50 for Monastir.

What was the final score of EGS Gafsa vs Monastir?

EGS Gafsa 0-1 Monastir in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EGS Gafsa vs Monastir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monastir win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split EGS Gafsa 19%, draw 27%, Monastir 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monastir), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monastir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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