Monastir 2-0 EGS Gafsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.28
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.95
No
53%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.87
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.13
6+ Goals
8%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
75%
-6.6pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.5pp
11%
Away Win
7%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
30%
+17.5pp
53%
BTTS No
70%
-17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monastir EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.70/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.06/2.03
+6% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -87% / -27%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monastir
1W-0D-0L
AWAY EGS Gafsa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.09.2020 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 2-3 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TNUSK
POST-MATCH Monastir vs EGS Gafsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monastir saw off EGS Gafsa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monastir as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Monastir vs EGS Gafsa?

Monastir 2-0 EGS Gafsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monastir vs EGS Gafsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monastir win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Monastir 68%, draw 21%, EGS Gafsa 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monastir), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monastir) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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