Stade Tunisien 2-1 Gabes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.36
2-3 Goals
48%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.21
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-10.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Tunisien EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gabes EU Bookmakers 18%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.27/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.00
-15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -36%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Tunisien
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gabes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
05.04.2015 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 2-1 HT 2-0 Gabes Gabes TUN1
POST-MATCH Stade Tunisien vs Gabes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Tunisien squeezed past Gabes 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stade Tunisien as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Stade Tunisien vs Gabes?

Stade Tunisien 2-1 Gabes in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Tunisien vs Gabes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Tunisien win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stade Tunisien 50%, draw 29%, Gabes 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Tunisien) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Tunisien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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