Deportivo Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Moquegua v Deportivo Garcilaso — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Moquegua 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Moquegua squeezed past Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (26% / 38% / 36%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Moquegua found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Deportivo Moquegua had 32% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 68%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.57 to 0.75.
What was the final score of Deportivo Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Deportivo Moquegua 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moquegua 26%, draw 38%, Deportivo Garcilaso 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.