Cusco FC 3-1 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
71%
-1.8pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.1pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +21%
1.71/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.92
+0% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
23.0 Crosses 12.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 1.03
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
363 Passes 225
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2025 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
24.05.2025 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-2 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
14.09.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
08.04.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
25.09.2022 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PERU2
23.10.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
3-1
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
4.13 xG 1.05
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
369 Passes 178
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC beat Comerciantes Unidos 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cusco FC as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cusco FC had 64% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 36%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 4.13 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cusco FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cusco FC and 1.00 for Comerciantes Unidos.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Cusco FC 3-1 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 69%, draw 18%, Comerciantes Unidos 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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