Cusco FC 1-1 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 Oct 2025

📅13/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.97
Over 2.5
59%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
66%
+3.5pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.4pp
12%
Away Win
13%
-1.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
47%
-6.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
53%
+6.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.8pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 16%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.70/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.92
+13% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.7
21.8 Crosses 12.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
321 Passes 257
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-2 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
14.09.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
08.04.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
25.09.2022 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PERU2
23.10.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
30.07.2018 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
1-1
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.26 xG 1.51
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
464 Passes 157
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 15
49 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC and Comerciantes Unidos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Cusco FC carried 70% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cusco FC had 71% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 29%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.26 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cusco FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cusco FC and 0.83 for Comerciantes Unidos.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Cusco FC 1-1 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 70%, draw 18%, Comerciantes Unidos 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cusco FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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