UTC Cajamarca 0-2 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 Oct 2025

📅13/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -22%
1.28/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.32
+23% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
18.9 Crosses 25.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cienciano
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
225 Passes 241
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2025 Cienciano Cienciano 6-1 HT 5-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
13.09.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-2 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
07.04.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 1-1 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
08.07.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 2-2 HT 0-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
04.02.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 3-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
07.10.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
0-2
AWAY Cienciano
0.98 xG 1.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
236 Passes 257
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano saw off UTC Cajamarca 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cienciano as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 49% of the ball to Cienciano's 51%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 0.98 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 2.00 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?

UTC Cajamarca 0-2 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 28%, draw 26%, Cienciano 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cienciano), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cienciano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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