UTC Cajamarca 1-2 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.46/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.28
+11% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
23.4 Crosses 19.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cienciano
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.52 xG 1.10
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
192 Passes 262
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 1-1 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
08.07.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 2-2 HT 0-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
04.02.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 3-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
07.10.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
21.05.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 3-2 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
21.09.2021 Cienciano Cienciano 2-2 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
1-2
AWAY Cienciano
0.96 xG 1.23
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
247 Passes 160
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
17 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano edged past UTC Cajamarca 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Cienciano found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 58% of the ball to Cienciano's 42%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.96 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.50 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?

UTC Cajamarca 1-2 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 39%, draw 30%, Cienciano 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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