Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +1%
1.11/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.32
+11% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 70%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.1 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
1W-2D-1L
AWAY ADT
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.88 xG 1.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
203 Passes 255
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 ADT ADT 2-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
06.03.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT CON CSA
15.07.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-2 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
11.02.2023 ADT ADT 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
1-0
AWAY ADT
0.64 xG 0.68
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
136 Passes 309
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Garcilaso vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso nicked a narrow win over ADT 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Garcilaso as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 33% of the ball to ADT's 67%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.64 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.25 for ADT.

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs ADT?

Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 45%, draw 30%, ADT 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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