ADT 2-2 Deportivo Garcilaso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.1pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.36/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.64
-22% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
22.7 Crosses 12.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 1.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
232 Passes 226
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.03.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT CON CSA
15.07.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-2 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
11.02.2023 ADT ADT 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
2-2
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
1.90 xG 0.43
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
322 Passes 134
81% Pass Accuracy 57%
23 Box Touches 9
35 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT and Deportivo Garcilaso couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was ADT at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ADT had 64% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 36%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.90 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ADT and 1.00 for Deportivo Garcilaso.

What was the final score of ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

ADT 2-2 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split ADT 54%, draw 26%, Deportivo Garcilaso 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ADT) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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