Cienciano 1-1 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.8pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.55/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.70
+3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
22.1 Crosses 16.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
1W-3D-2L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.29 xG 1.51
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
263 Passes 209
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.07.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 2-2 HT 0-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
04.02.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 3-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
07.10.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
21.05.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 3-2 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
21.09.2021 Cienciano Cienciano 2-2 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
31.10.2020 Cienciano Cienciano 1-1 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
1-1
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
0.34 xG 1.65
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
263 Passes 143
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
10 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano and UTC Cajamarca couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cienciano at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cienciano had 62% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 38%, shots finished 11-25, expected goals 0.34 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cienciano and 2.00 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?

Cienciano 1-1 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 55%, draw 26%, UTC Cajamarca 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cienciano) ✗ BTTS No
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