Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-4 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 57%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.13/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.59
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +73%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
222 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
18.1 Crosses 21.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.83 xG 1.56
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 337
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2023 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-2 HT 1-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
08.05.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 3-0 HT 2-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
23.07.2022 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
20.02.2022 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 3-1 HT 0-1 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
16.10.2021 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
25.11.2020 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
0-4
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.26 xG 2.04
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 11
148 Passes 342
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima ran out comfortable winners over Carlos Manucci Trujillo 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Carlos Manucci Trujillo had 34% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 66%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.26 to 2.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Carlos Manucci Trujillo and 1.67 for Alianza Lima.

What was the final score of Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Alianza Lima?

Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-4 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Carlos Manucci Trujillo 23%, draw 28%, Alianza Lima 49%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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