Cienciano 6-1 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.30/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.76
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 72%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
22.4 Crosses 14.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
2W-2D-2L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.05 xG 1.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
255 Passes 216
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-2 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
07.04.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 1-1 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
08.07.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 2-2 HT 0-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
04.02.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 3-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
07.10.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
21.05.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 3-2 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
6-1
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
2.88 xG 1.22
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
299 Passes 193
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano cruised past UTC Cajamarca 6-1. Half-time: 5-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cienciano as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cienciano had 57% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 43%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 2.88 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cienciano and 1.83 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?

Cienciano 6-1 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 58%, draw 24%, UTC Cajamarca 18%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cienciano), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cienciano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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